Assessment is the guiding light of strategy. It is the glue that binds the plan to the ultimate end-state. Unfortunately, assessment continues to plague airmen, as consistently reflected in post-war analyses dating back to WWII. A major problem with assessment stems from a tendency to focus on attrition-based methodology. Rather than analyzing the effectiveness of a given action with respect to the planned strategy, airmen remain shackled to the direct effects of a given attack. A relatively recent move to incorporate effects-based thinking across the Air Force has brought the subject of effects-based assessment (EBA) in the light.